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China emerges as backdoor hub for foreign cars entering Russia

News
Many of these vehicles are produced in China through joint ventures or shipped there before re-export.

Despite sweeping sanctions imposed after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, tens of thousands of foreign-brand vehicles continue reaching Russian buyers through gray-market channels routed via China. Registration data and industry sources indicate that vehicles from Japanese, German, and South Korean brands are being exported through intermediaries, often circumventing corporate withdrawal commitments and export controls.

Many of these vehicles are produced in China through joint ventures or shipped there before re-export. A growing share consists of “zero-mileage used” cars new vehicles registered in China and reclassified as used to bypass manufacturer approval requirements.

Mechanics of Sanctions Circumvention

The gray-market trade exploits regulatory gaps and market incentives. Dealers or traders register new vehicles in China, enabling them to label the cars as used exports. This classification eliminates the need for automaker authorization and allows sales into Russia despite formal prohibitions.

China’s highly subsidized and intensely competitive auto market incentivizes the practice. Exporters can inflate domestic sales figures, collect subsidies, and dispose of surplus inventory while Russian dealers secure vehicles that remain in high demand.

Demand Persistence and Consumer Preferences

Russian buyers continue to favor Western and Japanese brands, particularly premium models. Dealers report sourcing vehicles through layered intermediary networks to satisfy customer demand for brands such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Toyota.

Zero-mileage used vehicles, often discounted in China, can command near-new prices in Russia, reflecting strong consumer appetite and limited official supply.

Data Reveals the Scale of the Parallel Trade

Registration data from Russian analytics firm Autostat indicates that imports routed through China now account for a substantial share of sanctioned-region brands registered in Russia. Nearly half of the approximately 130,000 vehicles sold in 2025 by automakers from sanctioning countries were manufactured in China.

Since 2022, more than 700,000 vehicles from such foreign brands have been sold in Russia. China-made vehicles from Japanese brands dominate the segment, with nearly 30,000 Toyotas purchased last year, most produced in China.

Automaker Compliance and Enforcement Challenges

Automakers including Volkswagen Group and BMW say they prohibit exports to Russia and have implemented contractual safeguards and dealer training. However, enforcement remains difficult due to complex supply chains and reliance on third parties.

Sanctions experts note that preventing restricted goods from reaching Russia is inherently challenging given the multiplicity of intermediaries and transshipment routes.

Governments in European Union member states, Japan, and South Korea have warned exporters against indirect shipments and increased scrutiny of re-exports, while Beijing and Moscow continue to oppose unilateral sanctions.

Luxury and Premium Vehicles Continue to Slip Through

Premium German SUVs remain especially prized among affluent Russian consumers. Nearly 47,000 vehicles from BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen Group brands were registered in Russia last year, with more than 20,000 manufactured in China.

Even models produced exclusively in Europe, such as the Mercedes G-Class, are believed to transit through China before reaching Russian buyers, underscoring the adaptability of parallel trade networks.

Implications

The continued flow of foreign vehicles into Russia highlights structural limits of sanctions enforcement in a globalized supply chain environment. China’s role as a manufacturing hub and re-export conduit complicates regulatory oversight and weakens corporate exit strategies.

The trade also underscores the resilience of Russian consumer demand and the emergence of parallel import ecosystems capable of sustaining access to restricted goods.

Analysis

The rerouting of foreign automobiles through China illustrates how market incentives, supply-chain flexibility, and regulatory asymmetries can dilute sanctions regimes. While Western restrictions have sharply reduced official exports, gray-market mechanisms have created an alternative distribution architecture that preserves consumer access and dealer profitability.

China’s dual role as manufacturing base and trade intermediary positions it as a pivotal node in the sanctions-era global economy. For automakers, the persistence of unauthorized exports poses reputational and compliance risks, while also revealing the limits of corporate disengagement in interconnected markets.

Ultimately, the parallel vehicle trade demonstrates that sanctions can reshape trade flows without fully halting them, shifting commerce into informal networks that are harder to monitor, regulate, or control.

With information from Reuters.

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